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pearwaldorfAmerican Research Group's latest results by state
Washington: Kerry up by 7%
Oregon: Kerry up by 2%
(accounting for Nader, MOE 3 to 4%, 95% confidence interval)
W00T! With a confidence interval of 95% and that particular margin of error (according to this handy dandy chart I found), it is 69% likely that this is actually what people think in Oregon, and at least 94% likely what people think in Washington. The sample size is kinda small (only 600), but it's a damn sight more reliable than those Zogby email poll things.
Washington: Kerry up by 7%
Oregon: Kerry up by 2%
(accounting for Nader, MOE 3 to 4%, 95% confidence interval)
W00T! With a confidence interval of 95% and that particular margin of error (according to this handy dandy chart I found), it is 69% likely that this is actually what people think in Oregon, and at least 94% likely what people think in Washington. The sample size is kinda small (only 600), but it's a damn sight more reliable than those Zogby email poll things.
